If an opportunity arrives at 14:45 with a 75% probablitiy of targeting better than 1% yield, AND a 15% probablity of targeting less than -1% yield, AND a 10% probability of targeting between 1% to -1%, all in less that 1 day time frame, then BUY the security. Cause the expected gain of the opportunity is +0.60. (0.75 X 1 + 0.10 X 0 + 0.15 X -1).
Posts Tagged ‘probability’
An example of “BUY”
March 26th, 2010A forecast for Norfolk Southern Corp.
January 29th, 2010Norfolk Southern Corp. (Public, NYSE:NSC) has a probability of 80% of rising at least 1% in the next week. This is a prediction from Seoq Panel, January 29 at 1:35 pm.
A new prediction for Avery Dennison Corporation
January 29th, 2010Avery Dennison Corporation (Public, NYSE:AVY) has a probability of 82% of rising at least 1% in the next week. This is a prediction from Seoq Panel, January 29 at 1:35 pm.
A forecast for Union Pacific Corporation
January 29th, 2010Union Pacific Corporation (Public, NYSE:UNP) has a probability of 83% of rising at least 1% in the next week. This is a prediction from Seoq Panel, January 29 at 1:35 pm.
A forecast for The Southern Company
January 28th, 2010The Southern Company (Public, NYSE:SO) has a probability of 75% of rising at least 1% in the next week. This is a prediction from Seoq Panel, January 28 at 3:10 pm.
